锦州港是辽宁西部,吉林、黑龙江两省中西部、内蒙古东部、华北北部乃至

蒙古国和俄罗斯西伯利亚地区最便捷的出海口,是辽宁省重点发展的北方区域性

港口,是我国渤海西北部400公里海岸线上全面对外开放的国际商港。随着世界

贸易往来日趋紧密,港口作为货物集散中心,功能也呈多元化发展趋势,特别是

地理位置优越的港口,在各国往来贸易中的地位日益凸显。目前,随着钢铁工业

的快速发展,锦州港为东北钢铁企业转运了大量的进口矿石,有力的支持了钢铁

企业的发展,也为企业自身带来了一定的经济效益。因此,对锦州港矿石运输发

展战略进行研究成为一个重要课题。

本文利用港口矿石运输的相关知识,以锦州港矿石运输为主要研究对象,对

其运输现状及市场状况进行了研究,并利用PEST分析法与SWOT分析法详细分

析了锦州港矿石运输的内外环境。然后运用灰色模型预测法,对锦州港未来十年

的矿石吞吐量进行了预测分析。最后,针对当前锦州港矿石运输面临的相关问题,

提出了相关的发展战略。

关键词:矿石运输;PEST; SWOT;灰色预测模型;发展战略

英文摘要

ABSTRACT

Jinzhou Port is the most convenient access to the sea in the Midwest of Jilin

province and Heilongjiang province, the north part of North China, the east part of Inner

Mongolia and Siberia of Russia. It's also the important northern regional ports in

Liaoning province and the fully open international port in the northwest coastline of

China's Bohai. With the increasingly closed world trade,as the cargo consolidation

centre, the function of the port has diversified recently. Especially the ideally located

port, it has become increasingly significant in the world trade. At present, witii the rapid

development of iron and steel industry, Jinzhou transports a large number of imported

ore,iron and steel in northeast China, supports the development of the iron and steel

enterprises, and it also bring certain economic benefits itself. Therefore, the study of the

development strategy of Jinzhou ore transport becomes an important task.

In this paper, we put the development strategy of Jinzhou ore transport as the main

object of study, through using basic knowledge of port ore transport, doing research on

its transport and market current situation and using PEST analysis and SWOT analysis

to analyze the internal and external environment of Jinzhou ore transport. Then, we

forecast the ore throughput over the next ten years of Jinzhou Port with Grey Model. At

last,aimed at the main problems of the Jinzhou ore transport, we put forward

corresponding development strategy.

Key Words: Ore transportation; PEST; SWOT; Grey Model; Development strategy