I 摘要 随着汽车欧亿·体育（中国）有限公司内低能耗、环保及安全性要求的提高，其发动机、变速器等一系 列关键核心零件也将技术升级。GFx自动变速器符合汽车欧亿·体育（中国）有限公司发展趋势，其核心部 件的构成组件产品将会有广阔的市场发展前景。SY公司GFx自动变速器换挡机构技 术改造项目具有投资额大，项目建设期较长，不确定因素较多等特点，该技术改造 项目进行后评估，对总结经验，发现问题，及时调整与纠偏具有现实意义。 本文依托项目后评估理论，以GFx自动变速器换挡机构技术改造项目为对象， 从项目前期工作后评估、实施及运行后评估、影响与可持续性后评估三个维度，运 用因果分析法、对比分析法、成功度法等方法，对该技术改造项目进行后评估。运 用因果分析法对项目前期工作从可行性研究、决策程序、招投标工作三方面进行分 析，认为由于可研报告对该项目风险估计不足，前瞻性不够，导致实际投产中出现 物料能源消耗高的问题。运用对比法对实施及运行后评估中的经济效益指标值进行 分析，得出该项目具有盈利能力的结论。运用成功度法对环境影响、可持续性发展、 社会影响三个指标进行打分，得出项目影响与可持续性较好，能够增加企业竞争力。 通过后评估也发现该项目存在施工图纸变更多、原材料能耗高、风险估计不足等问 题。针对这些问题，提出统筹考虑原料资源国产化，保证原料供应；减少物料损失； 采用进口设备，强化项目管理等对策和建议。 关键词:技术改造；项目评价；投资分析；后评估 中原工学院硕士学位论文Abstract II Abstract Withtheimprovementoflowenergyconsumption,environmentalprotectionand safetyrequirementsintheautomobileindustry,aseriesofkeycorepartssuchasengine andtransmissionwillalsoupgradethetechnology.GFxautomatictransmissioninline withthedevelopmenttrendoftheautomotiveindustry,itscorecomponentscomponent productswillhaveabroadmarketdevelopmentprospects.Thetechnicaltransformation projectofGFxautomatictransmissionshiftmechanismofShanghaitransportation companyhasthecharacteristicsoflargeinvestment,longconstructionperiodandmany uncertainfactors,etc.Thepost-evaluationofthistechnicaltransformationprojectisof practicalsignificanceforsummarizingexperience,findingproblems,timelyadjustment andcorrection. Theory,inthispaper,basedonprojectevaluationtoGFxautomatictransmission shiftinstitutionstechnicaltransformationprojectastheobject,fromthepre-project post-evaluation,implementationandrunningpost-evaluation,impactandsustainability post-evaluationfromthreedimensions,usingcomparativemethod,successdegreemethod, causalanalysis,thetechnicalrenovationprojectofpost-evaluation.Byusingcausal analysismethodtoanalyzesthepreliminaryworkoftheprojectfromthefollowingthree aspects:feasibilitystudy,decision-makingprocedureandbidding,andholdsthattherisk estimationoftheprojectinthefeasibilityreportisinsufficientandtheforesightis insufficient,whichleadstotheproblemofhighmaterialandenergyconsumptioninthe actualproduction.Thecomparativemethodisusedtoanalyzetheeconomicbenefitindex valueintheevaluationafterimplementationandoperation,andtheconclusionthatthe projectisprofitableisdrawn.Byusingthesuccessdegreemethodtoscorethethree indicatorsofenvironmentalimpact,sustainabledevelopmentandsocialimpact,itcanbe concludedthattheprojectimpactandsustainabilityaregood,whichcanincreasethe competitivenessofenterprises.Throughthepost-evaluation,itisalsofoundthatthe projecthasmanyproblems,suchasmanychangesinconstructiondrawings,highenergy consumptionofrawmaterials,andinsufficientriskestimation.Inviewoftheseproblems, itisputforwardthatthelocalizationofrawmaterialresourcesshouldbeconsideredasa wholetoensurethesupplyofrawmaterials.Reducematerialloss;Adoptimported equipment,strengthenprojectmanagementandothercountermeasuresandSuggestions. Keywords；Technicaltransformation;projectevaluation;investmentanalysis;post- evaluation 中原工学院硕士学位论文目录 IV 目录 摘要...................................................................................................................................I Abstract.................................................................................................................................II 目录.................................................................................................................................IV 1.绪论...............................................................................................................................1 1.1研究背景及意义.....................................................................................................1 1.1.1研究背景.......................................................................................................1 1.1.2研究意义.......................................................................................................2 1.2国内外研究现状.....................................................................................................2 1.2.1国外研究现状...............................................................................................2 1.2.2国内研究现状...............................................................................................4 1.2.3国内外研究述评...........................................................................................5 1.3研究思路与研究方法.............................................................................................6 1.3.1研究思路.......................................................................................................6 1.3.2研究方法.......................................................................................................6 1.4创新点.....................................................................................................................7 2.项目后评估基础理论与项目概况...................................................................................8 2.1基础理论.................................................................................................................8 2.1.1项目后评估概述...........................................................................................8 2.1.2项目后评估的方法.....................................................................................10 2.1.3项目后评估的程序.....................................................................................11 2.2SY公司及GFx自动变速器换挡机构技改项目概况...........................................11 2.2.1企业概况.....................................................................................................11 2.2.2技改项目概况.............................................................................................12 3.GFx自动变速器换挡机构技改项目前期工作后评估..................................................14 3.1项目可行性研究后评估.......................................................................................14 3.1.1物料与能源供应条件后评估.....................................................................14 3.1.2依托条件后评估.........................................................................................15 3.1.3产品市场后评估.........................................................................................15 3.1.4工艺技术后评估.........................................................................................17 3.2决策程序后评估...................................................................................................18 3.3招投标工作后评估...............................................................................................18 3.4前期工作后评估结论...........................................................................................19 中原工学院硕士学位论文目录 V 4.GFx自动变速器换挡机构技改项目实施及运行后评估..............................................21 4.1项目实施后评估...................................................................................................21 4.2项目运行后评估...................................................................................................21 4.2.1生产工艺后评估.........................................................................................22 4.2.2设备运行后评估.........................................................................................22 4.2.3运行效果后评估.........................................................................................23 4.3实施及运行后评估结