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Testimony Chinese Contingency Planning for Regional Hotspots Mark R. Cozad CT-471 Testimony presented before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission on April 13,2017. For more information on this publication, visit rand/pubs/testimonies/CT471.html Testimonies RAND testimonies record testimony presented or submitted by RAND associates to federal, state, or local legislative committees; government-appointed commissions and panels; and private review and oversight bodies. Published by the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. is a registered trademark. Limited Print and Electronic Distribution Rights This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited. Permission is given to duplicate this document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit rand/pubs/permissions.html. rand 1 Chinese Contingency Planning for Regional Hotspots Testimony of Mark R. Cozad1 The RAND Corporation2 Before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission April 13,2017 hina?ˉs rise brings with it numerous strategic imperatives and concerns. These include expanded economic engagement in diverse regions, growing political influence and responsibilities, and new challenges to territorial claims.3 China?ˉs leaders have directed the military to prepare itself to secure and protect these interests. People?ˉs Liberation Army (PLA) modernization and planning efforts thus are driven by a renewed sense of urgency and senior-level interest. These imperatives also are compelling the PLA to develop capabilities directed toward new missions to deal with unpredictable situations and unfamiliar environments.4 PRC leaders have growing concerns about challenges to China?ˉs maritime claims in the South China Sea and East China Sea. On the Korean peninsula, uncertainty and the potential for instability loom. Potential crises around China?ˉs vast periphery present PRC leaders and planners with the possibility of unexpected and dangerous situations. These emerging security challenges are forcing the PLA to adapt how it plans for future contingencies, deploys its forces, and fights.5 This testimony is based primarily on several types of Chinese military sources, including official press reports, articles from PLA military science journals, teaching materials, and military science research publications. It seeks to address how PLA planners at the national level deal with strategic objectives for potential contingencies, how those objectives are commu 。。。以上简介无排版格式,详细内容请下载查看