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ASIAN DEVELOPMENT OUTLOOK
J U LY2 0 2 3
ROBUST GROWTH WITH
HIGHLIGHTS
MODERATING INFLATION
Exports from developing Asia
weakened in the ?rst quarter of 2023
as global demand slowed. However,
consumption and investment are
forecast to boost aggregate regional
growth to 4.8% in 2023, as earlier
forecast, with the projection for 2024
revised down only marginally to 4.7%.
Given balancing developments, growth
forecasts for East Asia are maintained
at 4.6% in 2023 and at 4.2% in 2024,
for South Asia at 5.5% in 2023 and 6.1%
in 2024, and for the Paci?c at 3.3% in
2023 and 2.8% in 2024.
Southeast Asia’s growth prospects are
downgraded slightly from 4.7% to 4.6%
in 2023 and from 5.0% to 4.9% in 2024,
re?ecting weaker global demand for
manufactured exports.
Growth forecasts for the Caucasus and
Central Asia are adjusted down from
4.4% to 4.3% in 2023 and from 4.6%
to 4.4% in 2024 after oil production in
Azerbaijan fell more than expected.
Headline in?ation eased toward pre-
pandemic averages as fuel and food
prices waned.
With lower in?ation in developing
Asia and more moderate monetary
tightening in the United States, most
central banks in the region have
kept policy rates steady th。。。以下略