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野村证券韩国电信欧亿·体育(中国)有限公司研究报告_2007年1月(46页).rar

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野村证券《韩国电信欧亿·体育(中国)有限公司研究报告》2007年1月(46页).rar Unhealthy duplication Amid an overall bearish view on North Asian telecoms, we identify multiplication of technology platforms as the most serious threat facing Korea's larger two mobile operators — SK Telecom (SKT) and KTF — over the next few years. We expect profit margins will decline from FY08F as the costs of platform duplication hit home. Hopes for compensatory gains due to market maturity are likely to be disappointed, given that the Korean mobile sector passed that phase in FY99-01 and penetration is now genuinely too high. Our lone positive call on LG Telecom (LGT) rewards the one mobile operator that will stick with running just one platform. 􀁣 Platform multiplication to hurt margins at SKT and KTF 􀁤 Impact to be felt from FY08F 􀁥 Local mobile market beyond the mature stage 􀁦􀀃LGT our top pick NEW THEME Stocks for action Our top pick is LGT on further margin gains as it stays on a single network. We lower our ratings for SKT and KTF by one notch each on concerns over platform multiplication. Stock Nomura rating Current price (W) Fair value (W) Up/ downside LG Telecom (032640 KS) STRONG BUY 9,650 12,400 28 SK Telecom (017670 KS) NEUTRAL 223,000 238,000 7 KTF (032390 KS) REDUCE 28,450 25,500 (10) Analysts Steve Yoo, CFA +822 3783 2316 steve.yoo@kr.nomura Andrew Haskins +852 2536 1828 andrew.haskins@hk.nomura

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