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《2008年中国军力报告》美国防部(doc 121).rar
Executive Summary
China's rapid rise over recent years as a regional political and economic power with growing global
influence is an important element in today's strategic landscape, one that has significant implications
for the region and the world. The United States welcomes the rise of a stable, peaceful, and prosperous
China. No country has done more to assist, facilitate, and encourage China's national development
and its integration in the international system. The United States continues to encourage China to
participate as a responsible international stakeholder by taking on a greater share of responsibility
for the stability, resilience and growth of the global system. However, much uncertainty surrounds
China's future course, in particular in the area of its expanding military power and how that power
might be used.
The People's Liberation Army (PLA) is pursuing comprehensive transformation from a mass army
designed for protracted wars of attrition on its territory to one capable of fighting and winning short-
duration, high intensity conflicts along its periphery against high-tech adversaries – an approach that
China refers to as preparing for "local wars under conditions of informatization." China's ability to
sustain military power at a distance remains limited but, as noted in the 2006 Quadrennial Defense
Review Report, it "has the greatest potential to compete militarily with the United States and field
disruptive military technologies that could over time offset traditional U.S. military advantages."
China's near-term focus on preparing for contingencies in the Taiwan Strait, including the possibility
of U.S. intervention, is an important driver of its modernization. However, analysis of China's military
acquisitions and strategic thinking suggests Beijing is also developing capabilities for use in other
contingencies, such as conflict over resources or disputed territories.
The pace and scope of China's military transformation have increased in recent years, fueled by
acquisition of advanced foreign weapons, continued high rates of investment in its domestic defense
and science and technology industries, and far reaching organizational and doctrinal reforms of the
armed forces. China's expanding and improving military capabilities are changing East Asian military
balances; improvements in China's strategic capabilities have implications beyond the Asia-Pacific
region.
China's nuclear force modernization, as evidence by the fielding of the new DF-31 and DF-31A
intercontinental-range missiles, is enhancing China's strategic strike capabilities. China's emergent
anti-access/area denial capabilities – as exemplified by its continued development of advanced cruise
missiles, medium-range ballistic missiles, anti-ship ballistic missiles designed to strike ships at sea,
including aircraft carriers, and the January 2007 successful test of a direct-ascent, anti-satellite weapon
– are expanding from the land, air, and sea dimensions of the traditional battlefield into the space and
cyber-space domains.
The international community has limited knowledge of the motivations, decision-making, and key
capabilities supporting China's military modernization. China's leaders have yet to explain in detail the